Archive for July, 2009

So much for any bump out of Obama’s visit

Author: Rory B. Bellows

Public Policy Polling’s, a democrat leaning firm, latest NJ Gov. Poll shows Chris Christie with a 14 point lead over Jon the Taxer. In June, PPP’s poll showed Christie leading Corzine by 10 points. So much for that.

Corzine is only getting 68% of the vote from dems in this poll. This puts his selection of Loretta Weinberg to be his running mate, a victorian era relic who looks old enough to be Frank Lautenberg’s grandmother, in perspective. Weinberg is a hero among the gay rights crowd and her selection is intended to fire up so called progressives. Weinberg has long been a champion of whatever gay rights are and her selection is intended to bring progressive minded folks home to vote D on election day. This is rather amusing because urban liberal types, Ce long Corzine’s base, have long derided Souther social conservatives who loyally pull the lever for the R’s every election day because of social issues. In 2004 they scolded Karl Rove for running a campaign of hate because measures banning gay marriage were on the ballot in key states such as Ohio and the D’s attributed Bush’s win in 2004 to Republican firing up voters with anti-gay marriage sentiments. Now they are attempting the same strategery.

Corzine’s fading hopes of re-election hinge on turnout. The dems have the homefield advantage in NJ but Corzine’s rank incompetence has ruined the fact that there is a 13 point advantage for the dems in terms of party identification. So in his infinite wisdom, Corzine selected some obscure female State Senator who will have massive appeal to the base which votes on social issues in an effort to win a turnout war.

Does that last part sound familiar?

Christie up 15 points

Author: Aaron

According to the latest Strategic Vision poll, Chris Christie has a 15-point lead over Jon Corzine.

Oh, Corzine while packing up your belongings please use some of your own millions to move it out of the governor’s mansion.  Taxpayers should not have to pay for your crap.

Some thoughts on the Lt. Gov Selection

Author: Rory B. Bellows

I think most people’s reaction of “Who?” will turn to “Whatever.” This will generate one or two news cycles this week and then the selection will laregly be forgotten, save some horrific gaffe or damaging personal information be revealed, until the day of the Lt. debate. That will produce one or so more days worth of news coverage and then the electorate will largely forget who will fill the ceremonial position of Lt. Governor and decide if they hate Jon Corzine or not. Right now the polls suggest they do.

I’m not too keen on a ticket with two former prosecutors leading the charge. Prosecutors are the defenders of the state and I’m one of those old fashioned libertarian types who casts a wary eye towards the police powers of the government, that is really where your rights get trampled, but people go batty for that law and order type stuff so whatever. She’s attractive enough where she won’t hurt Christie in that regard and she’ll spruce up the campaign literature photos.

Beyond that I don’t think she adds or subtracts anything to the ticket and she will have zero effect on the election. Guadagno is from a region Christie is sure to carry and she appears to have no substantive policy differences with him so her pick is a safe, messafe re-enforcing selection.

This contest is all about Jon Corzine and if the voters want to rehire him.

Christie announce Lt. Governor Selection

Author: Rory B. Bellows

Christie’s idealism

Author: Rory B. Bellows

Star Ledger Columnist Paul Mulshine makes a forceful case that New Jersey conservatives are being sold down the river by Gubernatorial candidate Chris Christie.

Mulshine always generates consternation among Republican Party figures because he is the most vocal and visible conservative in New Jersey media. He has never been, and nor should he ever be, a cheerleader for the Republican Party. He is a principled advocate for the conservative movement, which is not the same thing as the Republican Party.

As a conservative, Mulshine is correct to be outraged by the policy positions staked out by Christie. His endorsement of the Obama Regime’s energy policy flies in the face of not only conservative thought, but sound economic and market principles. The left has planted their flag with these absurd alternative energy fantasies. If these technologies were practical, the private sector would be all over them and they would not require massive government favortism in the form of subsidies to be viable.

The Republican party is supposed to be grounded in realism. Let the Democrats preach about utopian fantasies that government will create, the Republican Party are the grown ups who know fantasy land rubbish when they see it and are responsible stewards of the tax payer dollar. Christie backing Obama’s energy plan is pure pie-in-the sky idealism that all things are possible and that ideas should not be judged on their practicality, but rather on how they make us feel and how noble the goals they seek to accomplish are.

If the Republican Party is ever to make a comeback it is going to not be based on moderating principles but in (re)embracing realism and prudence. The Bush Adminstration abandoned the realism camp abroad, with the adventure in Iraq, and domestically with massive government interventions in the form of No Child Left Behind and Medicare Part D. Christie is rejecting prudence and realism for fantasy not only with his backing of Obama’s energy proposal, but also with his promise to cut the state income tax and increase property tax rebates. As Mulshine points out, this is impossible. The income tax funds property tax rebates. You cannot decrease one and increase the other. Making promises with no ability to pay for them is exactly the course George Bush took the Republican Party down with the Medicare presicription drug entitlement and it is the same thing Republicans are rightly thrashing Obama for with his proposal to socialize medicine.

The base of the Democratic Party in New Jersey is depressed. Polling shows that Obama will have no impact in the race. Chris Christie does not need to pander to democratic constituencies in order to win this election. What he needs to do is offer a realistic alternative to Corzine. New Jerseyans want property tax relief, not rebates. Property tax relief can easily be delivered by moving away from affordable housing and allocating school funding equally. These ideas can be sold in practical, non-idelogical terms based on the simple fact that the Abbot School funding program and affordable housing policies have not worked. Everyone knows they have driven up property taxes. The Christie campaign is worried about being labeled too far to the right. Fine. There is a conservative philosophical argument against these programs but Chrisite does not have to go there. The numbers tell the story.

We have had 8 long years, at the state and national level, of idealists, both Republican and Democrat as captains of the ships of state. We have suffered mightly for turning our backs away from prudent thinking with our country engages in endless conflicts abroad, a collapsed housing bubble and an economy in tatters due excessive borrowing by both government and consumers.

Friedrich Hayek famously dedicated The Road to Serfdom to the socialists of all parties. I dedicate this post to the idealists of all parties.

Barbara Boxer gets called out for being a racist

Author: Rory B. Bellows

The CEO of the Black Chamber of Commerce absolutely pwns Senator Barbara Boxer as a racist. Lulz.

Christie up by 12 in latest poll

Lonegan and the GOP

Author: Rory B. Bellows

While I am strong supporter of Steve Lonegan, I find some aspects of his email criticizing the NJ GOP troubling. I fully support his criticisms of the Republican turncoats who voted for the Crap and Tax bill. That vote was a disgrace. However, some of his other claims are puzzling. Lonegan is outraged that the leadership of the stat committee blocked a move to adopt the national Republican Party platform for the state party. Lonegan and his supporters want the state party to adopt the national platform because of its strong pro-life planks. On one hand, they are arguing that the GOP should not be afraid to support pro-life positions. On the other hand, this is the party platform that John McCain adopted. McCain is the anti-Lonegan. He is a big government liberal Republican. That conservative activists would want anything to do with a platform adopted by a national party that he activists correctly argue has drifted leftward is puzzling. Would they also like the adopt the 2008 Republican Party position on the bailout bill? How about the McCain campaign’s support for Cap and Trade? This party platform represents the positions of a national party that drifted absurdly far from conservative principles and was soundly thrashed at the ballot box by a marxist street organizer. Yeah, let the state Republican Party follow that lead. Not that the NJ GOP needs any help to suffer crushing defeats.

Lonegan’s backing, which I am sure is done out of principle, is also odd because the focus of his campaign was on fiscal matters. The Republican committmen who wanted the state party to adopt the national platform only are doing so because of the abortion issue. And it’s foolish. Even if the Governor of New Jersey is pro-life, and the party adopts a pro-life platform, the Roe decision will still be the, unfortunate, law of the land. While I am a pro-life libertarian, much in the tradition of Ron Paul, Murray Sabrin and Judge Andre Nopolitano, the true conservative and federalist position is that social issues fall under the province of the tenth amendment and thus are matters of state’s rights. There should not be a national position on any of these issues unless it is that the issue of abortion is left to the individual states to decide. Conservatives like to rally around that the states represent 50 different labratories for democracy when opposing the oppressive once size fits all policy prescriptions of the Marxocrat Party. A conservative philosopher such as Steve Lonegan should be rallying around THAT idea.

Students launch site against Corzine

Author: Aaron

Barack Obama wooed the youth, convincing them that his progressive policies would help the country. Jon Corzine has not been as succesful.  Today the Students Against Corzine (SAC) launched their website, and plan to use grassroots movement tacticts to remove Jon Corzine from Office.

After all, Jon Corzine is crippling the future of the youth in New Jersey.  It is the youth that once finished with college will be forced to decide whether or not the steep property, sales and income taxes of New Jersey are payments they would like to make.  One of the little known facts about New Jersey is that one out of eight residents of our once great state move out. One out of eight students in New Jersey go to out of state colleges, The youth in this state although obsessed with Obama, may finally be realizing that the democrats have pushed us into a deep state of recession, and their solution is to tax us more.

Finally college students are standing up against the Democrat regime and the don of that regime Jon Corzine. They are also planning to protest the July 16th Obama-Corzine rally .

Check out their website for more information on the rally, and get on their mailing list, Take back New Jersey!

www.StudentsAgainstCorzine.com

New NJ Gov Poll

Author: Rory B. Bellows

Rasmussen Reports shows, leaners included, Chris Christie leads Jon Corzine 53-41.

Beneath the surface things look good

Author: Rory B. Bellows

Wow. What a few weeks to take a break from blogging. Despite the MSM narrative of a part in disarry in the wake of the Sanford and Ensign scandals and the Palin resignation, things are looking up for the Republican Party in the 2009 and 2010 election cycles.

We’ll start with the off-off year governorship races in New Jersey and Virgina. In New Jersey, Republican Chris Christe continues to trounce Jon Corzine in the polls, holding a 10.2% advantage in the latest aggregate. Things are going so poorly for Corzine that he has released a negative ad. In the first week of July.

Down in Virgina, Republican Bob McDonnell holds a 6 point lead in the latest poll over his rival for the Governorship of Virgina.

Right now, the odds are that the GOP will sweep these races. Some will try and argue this is not a sign of things to come in 210, but not so fast, my friend.

Candidate recruitment is picking up for the GOP. Candidates who wanted no part of races in 2006 and 2008 are entering races across the country. In Oho, Barack Obama’s aproval rating has nosedived 13 points in the last two months to 49%. Governor Ted Strickland, once of the nation’s most popular Governors now holds a 46% approval rating. This has led to quaity challengers such as former Congressmen Jon Kasich an Bob Portman to run for Governor and Senate respectively. At one point in time these Republicans trailed Democratic incumbants by double digits. Those leads have fallen to single digits.

Yesterday news came out of New Hampsire that the party’s top choice to run for retiring Senator Judd Gregg’s seat, Attorney General Kelly Ayotte, would in fact enter the race against Democratic Congressmen Paul Hodes. Ayotte was the only Republican who led Hodes in a hypothetical head to head matchup poll.

New Hampshire, New Jersey, Ohio and Virgina are four states where the GOP has gotten their brains beat in the last two election cycles. New Jersey and New Hampshire represented a consolidation of the Democratic base and Ohio and Virgina were beach heads for Democratic incursion into traditionally strong Republican areas that saw support for the Party erode to local corruption and the national unpopularity of President Bush.

Now that the corrupt local officials and President Bush are no longer around, quality Republican candidates are emerging and the euphoria of the course change of 2006 and 2008 is wearing off now that the realities of Democratic governence is setting in.

New Hampshire and

Palin and her enemies

Ross Douthat of the New York Times hits dead on when discussing the political carear of Sarah Palin

“She should have said no.

If Sarah Palin’s political career ended last Friday, 10 tumultuous months after she was introduced as the Republican Party’s vice-presidential nominee, those five words will be its epitaph.

Had she refused John McCain, Palin would still be a popular female governor in a Republican Party starved for future stars. Her scandals would be the stuff of local politics, her daughter’s pregnancy a minor story in the Lower 48, her son Trig’s parentage a nonissue even for conspiracy theorists. There would still be plenty of time to ease into the national spotlight, to bone up on the issues, and to craft a persona more appealing than the Mrs. Spiro Agnew role the McCain campaign assigned to her.

Most important, nobody would have realized yet how much she looks like Tina Fey.

But she said yes. It wasn’t the right thing to do, in hindsight, but it was certainly the human thing. She was coming off a charmed rise through statewide politics. John McCain was offering her a spot on a national ticket. It was the chance of a lifetime.

And now, seemingly, it’s over. Oh, maybe not forever: she’s only 45, young enough (and, yes, talented enough) to have a second act. But last Friday’s bizarre, rambling resignation speech should take her off the political map for the duration of the Obama era.

One hopes that was intentional. A Sarah Palin who stepped down for the sake of her family and her media-swarmed state deserves sympathy even from the millions of Americans who despise her. A Sarah Palin who resigned in the delusional belief that it would give her a better shot at the presidency in 2012 warrants no such kindness.

Either way, though, her 10 months on the national stage have been a dispiriting period for American democracy.

If Palin were exactly what her critics believe she is — the distillation of every right-wing pathology, from anti-intellectualism to apocalyptic Christianity — then she wouldn’t be a terribly interesting figure. But this caricature has always missed the point of the Alaska governor’s appeal — one that extends well outside the Republican Party’s shrinking base.

In a recent Pew poll, 44 percent of Americans regarded Palin unfavorably. But slightly more had a favorable impression of her. That number included 46 percent of independents, and 48 percent of Americans without a college education.

That last statistic is a crucial one. Palin’s popularity has as much to do with class as it does with ideology. In this sense, she really is the perfect foil for Barack Obama. Our president represents the meritocratic ideal — that anyone, from any background, can grow up to attend Columbia and Harvard Law School and become a great American success story. But Sarah Palin represents the democratic ideal — that anyone can grow up to be a great success story without graduating from Columbia and Harvard.

This ideal has had a tough 10 months. It’s been tarnished by Palin herself, obviously. With her missteps, scandals, dreadful interviews and self-pitying monologues, she’s botched an essential democratic role — the ordinary citizen who takes on the elites, the up-by-your-bootstraps role embodied by politicians from Andrew Jackson down to Harry Truman.

But it’s also been tarnished by the elites themselves, in the way that the media and political establishments have treated her.

Here are lessons of the Sarah Palin experience, for any aspiring politician who shares her background and her sex. Your children will go through the tabloid wringer. Your religion will be mocked and misrepresented. Your political record will be distorted, to better parody your family and your faith. (And no, gentle reader, Palin did not insist on abstinence-only sex education, slash funds for special-needs children or inject creationism into public schools.)

Male commentators will attack you for parading your children. Female commentators will attack you for not staying home with them. You’ll be sneered at for how you talk and how many colleges you attended. You’ll endure gibes about your “slutty” looks and your “white trash concupiscence,” while a prominent female academic declares that your “greatest hypocrisy” is the “pretense” that you’re a woman. And eight months after the election, the professionals who pressed you into the service of a gimmicky, dreary, idea-free campaign will still be blaming you for their defeat.

All of this had something to do with ordinary partisan politics. But it had everything to do with Palin’s gender and her social class.

Sarah Palin is beloved by millions because her rise suggested, however temporarily, that the old American aphorism about how anyone can grow up to be president might actually be true.

But her unhappy sojourn on the national stage has had a different moral: Don’t even think about it.”

Leonard Lance must go!

Author: Rory B. Bellows

Even mainstream Republicans are realizing the farce that is Leonard Lance’s congressional career. He votes for SCHIP expansion, he votes for the Lily Leadbetter Act, he votes for paid family leave and now he votes for the Cap and Rape bill. And this guy claims to be a fiscal conservative?

Do you realize this Cap and Rape bill prevents you from selling your house unless it meets federal energy efficiency standards? There is no way Congressman Lance read this bill and his dereliction in voting for a bill that he had not read is grounds for firing him. This bill is a massive federal power grab and was a key component of the Obama agenda. Lance rationale is that we need to make America more like New Jersey. For Congressman Lance to say we need to make America over-taxed, over-regulated and completely hostile to business is bullet in the brain stupid.

I’m usually not for intra-party firing squads but Lance’s “representation” of his district has proved that he is a loyal foot soldier for Chairman Obama. The sad part is, this is a 180 degree for Lance. In the State Senate he was viewed as a reliable vote against outrageous spending and big government boondoogles. If Lance’s first few months are indicative of how he will vote on Chairman Obama’s attempt to socialize medicine, 7th district Republicans will have a hard time makig up their mind as to which primary challenger they are going to vote for in 2010.


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