Author: Rory B. Bellows
Wow. What a few weeks to take a break from blogging. Despite the MSM narrative of a part in disarry in the wake of the Sanford and Ensign scandals and the Palin resignation, things are looking up for the Republican Party in the 2009 and 2010 election cycles.
We’ll start with the off-off year governorship races in New Jersey and Virgina. In New Jersey, Republican Chris Christe continues to trounce Jon Corzine in the polls, holding a 10.2% advantage in the latest aggregate. Things are going so poorly for Corzine that he has released a negative ad. In the first week of July.
Down in Virgina, Republican Bob McDonnell holds a 6 point lead in the latest poll over his rival for the Governorship of Virgina.
Right now, the odds are that the GOP will sweep these races. Some will try and argue this is not a sign of things to come in 210, but not so fast, my friend.
Candidate recruitment is picking up for the GOP. Candidates who wanted no part of races in 2006 and 2008 are entering races across the country. In Oho, Barack Obama’s aproval rating has nosedived 13 points in the last two months to 49%. Governor Ted Strickland, once of the nation’s most popular Governors now holds a 46% approval rating. This has led to quaity challengers such as former Congressmen Jon Kasich an Bob Portman to run for Governor and Senate respectively. At one point in time these Republicans trailed Democratic incumbants by double digits. Those leads have fallen to single digits.
Yesterday news came out of New Hampsire that the party’s top choice to run for retiring Senator Judd Gregg’s seat, Attorney General Kelly Ayotte, would in fact enter the race against Democratic Congressmen Paul Hodes. Ayotte was the only Republican who led Hodes in a hypothetical head to head matchup poll.
New Hampshire, New Jersey, Ohio and Virgina are four states where the GOP has gotten their brains beat in the last two election cycles. New Jersey and New Hampshire represented a consolidation of the Democratic base and Ohio and Virgina were beach heads for Democratic incursion into traditionally strong Republican areas that saw support for the Party erode to local corruption and the national unpopularity of President Bush.
Now that the corrupt local officials and President Bush are no longer around, quality Republican candidates are emerging and the euphoria of the course change of 2006 and 2008 is wearing off now that the realities of Democratic governence is setting in.
New Hampshire and