Major worries for Christie

Author: Rory B. Bellows

As I noted yesterday, Christie has ran an awful campaign and has left the election up to fate. Instead of defining himself he has stayed silent, said nothing and sat on an ever shrinking lead.

Alan Steinberg, former Bush Administration official, sees some ominous signs in the Monmouth Poll. Steingberg shrewdly notices that Corzine actually leads Christie in terms of likely voters by 1 point. While this lead is statistically insignificant, Christie led by 6 points in the last poll. That is a lead that WAS statistically significant.

Corzine has personal wealth and union money to buy the necessary levels of turnout. I have repeatedly warned in this space that Christie was running a dreadful campaign and that the numbers would stabilize once Labor Day rolled around and the Corzine money kicked in. I fear that it is now too late for Christie to do much of anything and he needs to do everything in his power to boost turnout. He needs to have his appointed state party chair hold a vote and have the state GOP accept the national GOP platform. He needs Steve Lonegan out on the stump. And he needs to come up with something, anything, on property taxes in order to rally the troops around.

Christie is still a slight favorite in this election but each day more and more voters are leaving him because he has offered them nothing. Now he is going to have to a win a turnout election where he is at a massive disadvantage in terms of party ID.

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