Archive for October, 2009

Some good news for Christie?

Author: Rory B. Bellows

A new Public Policy Report poll out tomorrow shows daggett’s negatives soaring and the number one reason people will come out to vote is to vote against someone. That can’t be good news for Corzine.

Absurd Analysis of the NJ Gov Race

Author: Rory B. Bellows

Leftist House Organ The Nation has a piece by someone named John Nichols that claims Jon Corzine got back in the race because he turned sharply left and Christie ran too hard to the right by catering to the “Religious Right”.

The Nation is free to have their own radical left opinions but they are not free to make up their own facts. The fact of the matter is Christie has not catered to the “Religious Right”. If Christie was so interested in pandering to the religious right, why did he name a pro-choice woman as his running mate? The simple fact is that he has not catered to anyone at all. He has not even run a campaign of any note and does not even have a message as to why he should be elected governor other than that he is not Jon Corzine. Voters have not warmed up to Corzine. He barely tops 40% in the polls and that is consistant with all the polling done in the race going back to the summer. What happened was Christie’s numbers went down because he allowed Jon Corzine to define him. Voters moved from Christie to Daggett. They did not move to Corzine.

Yes, Corzine was able to marshal democratic voters. That got him from like 38% in the polls to 40%. Wow. What a left turn.

Lindsey Graham throws a hissy fit over Ron Paul

Author: Rory B. Bellows

Lindsey Graham is outraged, outraged I say! What has Senator Graham so upset? He was holding a town hall meeting the other day and was questioned about his support cap and trade, working with the Democrats on Social Security and called a RINO.

Video here:

In reponse, Senator Graham said he was going to “grow” the Republican Party and supports of Congressman Paul responded by chanting Paul’s name. Graham then told the crowd he would not “let Ron Paul hijack the Republican Party” and if supporters of Ron Paul did not like it, they were free to leave.

Now, a few thoughts.

For the past 8 years we had exactly the type of Republican Party Senator Graham wanted. Senator Graham was a strong supporter of the Bush adventure in Iraq. Senator Graham voted for the TARP Bill. Senator Graham is in favor of Cap and Trade, a position the Republican nominee in the 2008 Presidential Election also held, Senator Graham, rightly, believes the GOP needs to reach out to Hispanic voters but he has an odd way of doing so. Graham voted to confirm liberal Sonya Sotomayor while standing silent as the National Republican Campaign Committee endorsed liberal Charlie Crist over conservative Marco Rubio in the Florida Senate race.

Where has Lindsey Graham’s brand of Republicanism gotten the party? The Republican President let the White House in January 2009 with an apporval rating in the 20% range. Graham’s Republicaism led to wipe outs in the 2006 and 2008 elections with left the Democrats with a filibuster proof senate majority, huge congressional majorities and Barack Obama in the White House.

Great job, Lindsey.

In the town meeting, Senator Graham defended his conservatism by touting his record on guns and abortion. While I am an ardent supporter of the second amendment, the fact that Graham’s defines his conservatism is such cultural terms, as opposed to free market and individual liberty prinicples, is why the GOP cannnot win is in such a sorry state. Graham told the attendees he was going to go to states like Delaware and Illinois and win with “big tent” (i.e. liberal) candidates. It is precisely because of Senator Graham and how he has defined conservatism and the Republican Party that conservatism and the GOP is dead in those states.

I agree we have to grow the Republican Party but Senator Graham’s version of a Republican Party that grows is nothing more than an actuary of the Democratic Party. Ron Paul’s brand of limited government, consititiutionalist conservatism is ideology that drove the Goldwater Campaign and ultimately led to the election of Ronald Reagan in 1980. Lindsey Graham’s brand of conservatism led to the election of Barack Obama. Which direction would you rather have the parrty go?

Ron Paul appeared on CNN’s The Situation Room to respond to Senator Graham’s attacks:

Part 1:

Part 2:

Corzine’s Department of Labor Deceives the Public

Author: Rory B. Bellows

National Review online’s Jim Geraghty has a great post up today in his Campaign Spot blog. New Jersey’s Department of labor has been cooking the books in terms of job numbers in order to make Jon the Taxer look better.

When the August numbers were released, they claimed New Jersey had created 13,000 public sector jobs in a month when the US economy lost 263,000. Now these numbers are always revised in following reports because of the model government agnecies use to estimate job creation or job losses. The job creation figure for New Jersey was later revised downward to creating 5,600 jobs.

That is an awfully big deviation. What Geraghty also found out was that every other month begining in April was also revised downward. Cozine is in the fight of his life and the revised job numbers never generate the press the intial numbers create. One might think that the Department of Labor is acting as an arm of the Corzine re-election campaign. This is ironic because the main reason Corzine says Christie should not be governor is because is because he used political influence to benefit himself and his friends.

Why I will (reluctantly) vote for Chris Christie.

Author: Rory B. Bellows

I have been torn during this election cycle over my vote for Governor. Chris Christie has run an awful campaign. Chris Christie is an establishment liberal. A Christie Governorship will do nothing to build a functioning Republican Party in New Jersey. In short, he will be a lesser version of Christie Whitman, who at least had the good sense to listen to her advisors and base her 1993 campaign around a supply-side 30% in 3 year income tax cut.

For conservatives, there is a protest candidate. Jason Cullen is the type of young conservative we need to come through the ranks. However, I cannot pull the lever for Mr. Cullen as much as I may like his governing philosophy and disapprove of Mr. Christie’s. I do not believe a protest vote in this election will accomplish anything.

The Star-Ledger has endorsed Independent Candidate Chris Daggett. Even Pual Mulshine, whose work I respect greatly, has taken a shine to Mr. Daggett. I have no idea why. Daggett is lying when he says his plan does not increase taxes. It does. He is trying to use the newspeak term of “expanding” the sales tax instead of increasing in the sales tax. He can try and spin it any way he wants but the slaes tax will now be applied to more services and goods. That is raising taxes. While some portions of his platform are laudable, imposing caps on municpial, county and school budgets using the CPI and eliminating property tax rebates, Mr. Daggett is still just another tax increaser and as one of the self-described earliest global warming crusaders in the country, we can expect more New Jersey Republican support for destructive policies of cap and tax.

Moreover, Mr. Daggett is every bit as liberal as Mr. Christie. There is no small government tilt in his ideology or campaing platform. The only thing that separates him from Christie is that he has put out a more detailed property tax cut plan. I do not want ot rehash too much, but I will give myself the old Barry Horrowitz pat on the back for previously posting that all Christie had to do was present a property tax cut plan and he would win going away. Chris Daggett has proposed a plan that increases taxes, but because there is some meat to it, everyone, including a leading conservative clolumnist, went ga-ga over it. Daggett’s plan is awful, but it is the only plan out there at the moment.

This leads me back to Chris Christie. Since I have explained why I cannot vote for the other challengers, I will explain why I will vote for Christie. Two words: Barack Obama. Bob McDonnell is going to curb stomp Creigh Deeds in Virgina. Chris Christie winning in New Jersey, regardless of the quality of the candidate and campaign, would send a clear message that ultra-leftist policy agendas practiced by ultra-leftist politicians is out right now. It would send a clear signal to Democrats in Washington that if they wish to pursue government run health care, cap and tax, pro-union legislation and redistribution of wealth policies, they will pay a steep price at the ballot box next November.

Vote to repudiate big government leftism. Vote, you can even hold your nose when you do so, for Chris Christie.

The Actual FDU Poll is Even Worse News for Christie

Author: Rory B. Bellows

Last night I posted that The Save Jersey Blog broke the news that the latest FDU Poll would have Corzine in the lead with 44% of the vote.

Well, the actual poll results have been released today and the situation is even more dire. Politico reports that Daggett is polling at 17% and Christie favorable/unfavorable is 38/45. This that the campaign is now between Christie and Daggett. Corzine’s numbers are not moving but Christie’s are droppng and Daggett is on the rise. Maybe today’s edorsement by the second largest environmental group will help Christie capture some Daggett voters. Maybe.

What this means is that Christie is going to have to ignore Corzine and attack Daggett. This diminishes Christie’s stature and only further elevates Daggett. This campaign is now an uphill fight for Christie. I am not sure what he can do to turn the momentum around because the dye is pretty close to being cast.

New Poll has Corzine in the Lead

Author: Rory B. Bellows

As I accurately predicted , Jon Corzine has taken the lead in the latest round of polling, The only thing I got wrong would be that voters flocking to Daggett would put Corzine over the top. Daggett is only polling at 4% in this FDU poll. The FDU poll shows Corzine up 44-43 with 8% undecided. This news is courtesy of the

All is not lost but campaigns have natural rythms and once momentum is estbalished, it is almost impossible to regain. The public has decided they want to fire Jon Corzine but Chris Christie has been judged an unacceptable alternative. It is a testament to Corzine’s overall weakness that he is only up 1 point. For Christie to win, he needs a major error by Corzine which is almost impossible because Corzine has spent the entire campaign attacking Christie and not defending his own record or making new policy proposals.


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