Posts Tagged 'Polls'

Some good news for Christie?

Author: Rory B. Bellows

A new Public Policy Report poll out tomorrow shows daggett’s negatives soaring and the number one reason people will come out to vote is to vote against someone. That can’t be good news for Corzine.


Losing the Unloseable Election

Author: Rory B. Bellows

Watching Thursday night’s debate was maddening. Yes, Chris Christie hammered home the point that Jon Corzine is a serial tax raiser. Good. But that was the end of the good. Christie spent the rest of the night being tag teamed by Corzine and Indepedent candidate Chris Daggett. When Christie was pressed to respond to attacks his response was “They are wrong”. That. Was. It. Christie’s challenge is to present himself as a credible alternative to an electorate that has decided they are willing to fire Jon Corzine. Christie came off as a Bush clone where mindlessly repeated boiler plate slogans and talking points without giving any indication he had any understanding of what he was talking about was the gameplan.

While I normally deplore the media demand to offer solutions, what they mean by solutions is larger, more expensive and more intrusive government, Christie has to show he has a grasp of the issues. When asked what he would do, Christie’s response is a Nixonian secret plan to cut taxes. The answer is simple, affordable housing mandates and school funding need to be reformed. For the life of me, I will never understand why when running against a Governor no one likes because property taxes keep increasing, the Republican in the race will not offer a plan to cut property taxes. Instead, Christie offers an implicit endorsement of the Corzine record on property taxes by insisting he will maintain Jon Corzine’s rebate program.

This debate was such a disaster that even the Wall Street Journal disapproved of his performance. The Journal wrote:

To the extent that Mr. Christie has deigned to discuss taxes at all, it’s usually been to criticize the reform proposals of others. When his primary opponent suggested replacing the state’s graduated income tax—the top marginal rate is nearly 11%—with a 2.98% flat tax, Mr. Christie denounced it as a tax hike on working families, even though the average family would see its annual tax bill decline by $1,000. And this week when Chris Daggett, an independent candidate for Governor, promised a 25% property tax cut for all homeowners and said he’d pay for it by expanding the sales tax, Mr. Christie denounced it as a tax increase.

If Mr. Christie has some better ideas for reducing the tax burden in the Garden State, he might share the details with voters. His Web site mentions property and income tax relief but offers no details. The race has narrowed in part because Mr. Christie is losing supporters to Mr. Daggett, not Governor Corzine. Mr. Daggett’s appeal has grown because he’s offering voters precisely what Mr. Christie isn’t: A specific plan for controlling runaway taxes and spending.

I suspect the next round of polling will show a further deterioration in Christie’s numbers as pissed off voters register their disgust with Corzine by flocking to Daggett. In Thursday’s debate you could tell Christie was worried about Daggett because he attacked him. If Daggett was not drawing votes from Christie, Christie owuld have been falling all over himself to heap proase on this third party interloper. I would wager that the next round of polling will show Jon Corzine in the leade over Chris Christie. Christie has no one else to blame. He is going to lose an election to an incumbant governor with a low 40% approval rating who has presided oer an econbomic collapse in his state. Only in New Jersey could a political party find a way to lose an election in this enviornment.

Two New Polls Show Palin Campaign Leading Obama

Author: Rory B. Bellows

Governor Sarah Palin’s late entrance into the Presidential Race has shaken up the campaign. The new Gallup Daily Tracking Poll shows Governor Palin with a 3 point lead over the Obama Bin Biden ticket.

The new Zoby Poll shows Palin and some guy leading Barack Hussein Obama and Joe Dirt by a 49-45 margin.

Poll: Media Unfair to Sarah Palin

Author: Rory B. Bellows

51% of the public believes the meda is being unfair to Governor Sarah Palin.

In worrisome numbers for democrats, 42% of independent voters say Obama is qualified to be President while 37% say Palin is up to the task. This poll was taken before her homerun speech the other night. The trouble here is that Obama has been a national candidate for two years straight now and the public has seen him first hand answer questions and debate opponents. The public’s exposure to Sarah Palin consisted of a media smear job. The baseline of a candidate with no name recognition is the same as that of a community organizer who filled in 80,000 seat stadium. Rut roh! 24% of respondents said the media’s treatment of Palin made them more likely to vote for her so expect the numbers for he Palin campaign to only increase.

Palin takes the lead in the latest Zogby Poll

Author: Rory B. Bellows

Sarah Palin has energized the Republican Party and gives the Republican Campaign a 47-45 lead over Obama Bin Biden in the latest Zoby Poll. This survey began on Friday afternoon and Palin’/s entrance into the national race has completely obliterated whatever bounce the Senator from the Weather Underground received during his acceptence speech for the communist party on thursday night.

Governor Palin has awoke the sleeping giant that is the conservative base. The Palin Campaign raised $7 million dollars since whoever the guy at the top of the ticket is announced Governor Palin as his running mate. The conservative base may cling to guns and religion, but they do not cling to their money when One of Their Own is involved in a campaign.

The passion for Palin shows up in the internals of the poll. The guy at the top of the ticket received 89% of Republicans in the last Zogby Poll. After announcing Palin as his running mate that shot up to 92%.

This pick was a call to arms for conservatives. So far, so good.

Joe Biden Hurts Obama

Author: Rory B. Bellows

In the latest Gallup Daily Tracking Poll, taken in the wake of the announcement of Joe Biden as Barack Obama’s running mate, John McCain has taken a 46-44 lead.

So much for Biden’s supposed Joe Dirt persona paying dividends.

Even a Democratic Poll Shows Corzine in Trouble

Author: Rory B. Bellows

Even a